Thursday, July 16, 2015

Michael Brakey: Picking Oopsie-Daisies

A writer for a climate denial blog named "NoTricksZone", Michael Brakey, published a blog post a little under two weeks ago mocking several mistakes NOAA allegedly made in an update to their US surface temperature dataset, namely impacts that happened in Maine.  Deniers seem to be grabbing ahold of Maine and wringing it dry because the impacts to past temperatures are greatest in that state.

Ironically, for wanting to point out these mistakes, Brakey hasn't quite done his homework and picked his own bouquet of oopsie-daisies.

Sunday, July 12, 2015

What Humanists can learn from Thomas Jefferson

With the recent passing of the 239th Anniversary of the United States’ Declaration of Independence from Great Britain, it is important for Secular Humanists to look back at history and learn from our forefathers, especially those whose thoughts helped develop what we call Humanism today. Of course, in the United States, one such figure would without a doubt be Thomas Jefferson, the author of the Declaration of Independence.

Monday, July 6, 2015

New Atheism, Old Jacobins

On the morning of December 2nd, 2014, I woke up to find many of my activist friends sharing a recent article from Jacobin Magazine on social media. The piece, written by one Luke Savage, was titled New Atheism, Old Empire and featured the provocative subtext “The ‘New Atheists’ have gained traction because they give intellectual cover to Western imperialism.” As an atheist and leftist activist who is very strongly opposed to imperialism, not to mention one who has become increasingly disappointed in some of the public statements of New Atheist spokesmen such as Richard Dawkins and Sam Harris, I decided to give the article a chance.

Friday, June 26, 2015

Michigan Voters Stumped They Can't Vote on Fundamental Rights

Today's ruling by the Supreme Court in Obergefell v. Hodges that states have to recognize and license marriages for same-sex couples has left many in Michigan wondering what sort of totalitarian Council of Nine can decide whether the voters within the state have the power vested in them by the Constitution to ignore the Constitution.

"I don't understand why my vote to keep homosexuals as second-class citizens now counts for nothing," said Cheryl Smith, 54, of Grandville, MI.  "Apparently the judges think that they have the power to apply the Constitution against the wishes of the voters of Michigan."

This sentiment appears to have risen up amongst all parts of the state now, with petitions now calling on Governor Snyder to remove the four liberal justices from their spots on the Supreme Court.  One man from the City of Novi, 62 year-old Jeffery Anderson, has decided to go door to door over the weekend, passing out flyers to notify his neighbors that their votes no longer count for anything and encouraging them to sign his own petition.  He told local news early Friday afternoon that he was "disappointed" that this decision has "removed our Constitutionally-guaranteed superiority".  His petition in particular asks the Michigan Legislature to vote to secede from the Union if the Supreme Court does not reverse its decision within two weeks.

Meanwhile in a press conference earlier today, Governor Snyder spoke about how his administration would "comply with the decision to the best of [its] ability".  Snyder's office did not respond to requests for comments on what he meant when he muttered "thank God we have Courser", before this publication.

Friday, June 12, 2015

SD v. SE (of the mean)

A few days ago I wrote an article criticizing a post from Dr. Ross McKitrick about Karl et al. (2015), and one of the points that I brought up was that Mckittrick's use of the standard deviation of sample measurements to describe the uncertainty of the mean was incorrect.  I said that the standard error of the mean is instead the correct figure to use.  Several commenters at other blogs (such as here and here, examples from I think the same person) have either asked which of us is correct, or otherwise suggested that I am incorrect.  From the comments that McKitrick and I exchanged on my post, it seems that we have an understanding that the standard error of the mean is correct; however, there are some area-weighting issues that still exist that McKitrick pointed out, and which I have very briefly talked about here.

I think some may still be confused on the difference between standard deviation and standard error of the mean, though.  This post will help to illustrate that difference, and the application each serves as.

Tuesday, June 9, 2015

Area-Weighting: A Crude, Crude Alternative for Karl et al.

Dr. McKitrick and I have been having a nice discussion in the comments of my previous post criticizing his guest post at WUWT.  He has pointed out that the globally averaged buoy correction (originally from Kennedy et al. (2011B); see previous post for links) used in Karl et al. (2015) was applied without a consideration for area-weighting, and he is correct.  The global average was made by weighing each value according to observation count.  However, since most observations are from the northern oceans, this means that the global average, calculated as such, will naturally be close to the values in said regions.

This can be problematic because some values from other large regions, such as the tropical Indian or Southern Pacific, have pretty high correction values, roughly double the global value given by Kennedy et al.  What more, the standard deviations from each region are pretty comparable (excluding the Southern Ocean).  So an alternative global measure could be to attempt some crude, crude area weighting for each value, and then come up with a global value that way.

Saturday, June 6, 2015

Other Bad WUWT Commentary

My previous post detailed several errors and outright falsities in Ross McKitrick's discussion and halfhearted rebuttal to Karl et al. (2015), which corrected biases in sea surface temperature measurements to ultimately conclude that the global warming "hiatus" since 1998 probably does not exist (see previous post for links to papers, so on).  In that post I promised further discussion on one topic that I didn't get around to, since McKitrick was not the particular author at WUWT that made this mistake, so I will do so here.  I'll also include a bit about a recent piece by the comically wrong Mr. Monckton, who also tries to refute the paper.